Latest PPP poll shows Walker ahead by 3
The latest Public Policy Poll (PPP) complete results are up and they show Governor Scott Walker winning 50%-47% over challenger Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett. In the sample, voters chose President Barack Obama by 7 points. PPP puts the best spin possible on the poll for the Democrats by saying that if the Democrats had the voter enthusiasm advantage of 2008, Barrett would be leading by 1%.
According to PPP, “It’s cliche but this is a race that really is going to completely come down to turnout.”
However, according to the PPP poll, Walker has an approval rating of 51% among likely voters, a number that is going to make it very difficult to recall the sitting governor. In addition, Barrett has a 46/46 favorability rating, an improvement but still puts him behind.
According to the polling memo, “PPP surveyed 1,226 likely voters on June 2nd and 3rd. The margin of error for the survey is +/-2.8%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.”
According to Dean Debnam, “If Democrats turn out in the same numbers that they did in 2008 Tom Barrett will win a surprise victory. And if they don’t Scott Walker will survive.”
The last PPP poll conducted May 11th-May13th showed Walker leading Barrett 50% – 45%, and Walker’s approval rating at 49%. In February, PPP had Walker’s approval rating at 47%, his disapproval rating at 52%, and behind Barrett 49% – 46%.