Friday, September 30th, 2016

More fuzzy liberal math

12

Former Russ Feingold flak Jud Lounsbury compares apples to oranges when he says Republicans supported a recount with a margin similar to the Kloppenburg-Prosser margin.

In 2000, George W. Bush lost Wisconsin to Al Gore by about a 6K vote margin– a similar margin that we’re talking about in the 2010 Kloppenburg v Prosser race. Ultimately, the Bush campaign opted out of challenging Wisconsin, because it wouldn’t have made a difference if they lost Florida. However, its important to note that Wisconsin Republicans were unanimously in support of a recall in Wisconsin…

Okay, let’s look at the real numbers.

As we can see from the results, the margin in the Bush-Gore race in Wisconsin was 22% less than the margin in the Prosser-Kloppenburg race despite over a million more votes cast (58% more) in the Bush-Gore race. So the margins of victory in the two races are not comparable, nor is the number of total ballots cast.

If we were writing for Politifact, we would have to rate Lounsbury as having his pants on fire.

Update! Steve Eggleston points out in the comments the following:

Or if you want to do percentages, the Kerry margin was 0.220 percentage points, less than half the 0.488 percentage points Prosser enjoys.

Also for the record, the Bush campaign didn’t ask for a recount.

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