Friday, December 9th, 2016

The Wiggy senatorial poll results are in, and other polls are coming

1

Who will you be voting for Senate in the Republican Primary?

  • Tommy Thompson (53%, 309 Votes)
  • Eric Hovde (34%, 200 Votes)
  • Mark Neumann (9%, 52 Votes)
  • Jeff Fitzgerald (4%, 25 Votes)

Total Voters: 586

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We had a pretty good response for our poll, 584 people. Of course, it’s an online poll and it’s pretty easy to vote more than once. Given that this is my website, I’ll even concede that former Congressman Mark Neumann’s fans probably would be a little reluctant to participate given my criticism of their candidate.

Two of the campaigns tweeted it out to their supporters that I saw, former Governor Tommy Thompson and Eric Hovde, so that contributed to the results. Tommy’s tweeters were either more effective or his staff just has a lot of free time to vote more than once. Beyond that, I’m not going to interpret the results.

This was a lot of fun and we’ll do another poll when we get closer to the primary election day.

Today we’ll see a poll from Public Policy Polling that will show Hovde with a narrow lead over Thompson. That changes the perception of the race. Suddenly the race is no longer Thompson and three other people. It’s Thompson and Hovde unless either of the candidates self-destructs.

I’m curious how far back Neumann finished in the poll. If he finished far enough back, and it’s confirmed again on Wednesday in the Marquette poll, will Neumann’s national support swing over to support Hovde?

I don’t expect Neumann to drop out. Really bad polls didn’t make him drop out of the race for governor in 2010.

What will be interesting to watch is how Neumann reacts to the polls. Will he go on the attack like he did in 2010 with no regard for the truth? Will he do it personally or count on his Washington allies?

Or will Neumann decided to put away the checkbook and just run out the race? I think it depends on his fundraising. But if he’s not the conservative alternative to Thompson fundraising will be more and more difficult.

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