Predictions for the cheese league
Okay, more predictions.
House of Representatives
Quick! Name Congressman Jim Sensenbrenner’s opponent! That’s what I thought. Sensenbrenner won’t even have to spend the spare change in his pocket to win re-election this year.
Congressman Tom Petri will still be able to build more bicycle paths (if congress lets him). Congressman Reid Ribble’s opponent Jamie Wall has ethics issues. Democrats were so desperate to beat Sean Duffy that they were willing to drag Dave Obey out of the congressional retirement home & lobbying firm.
Meanwhile, some guy named Paul Ryan is running against Rob Zerban, who if he had a credible shot of winning I would have to make fun of his name. “Take me to your Zerban,” or something equally juvenile. Zerban’s tougher than the dead guy Democrats were complaining about, but Ryan should win re-election easily. If Romney/Ryan wins, the real fun will be the race to replace Ryan. (Oh gawd, one more election…)
In Madison, Democrats will actually see an improvement in the quality of the congresmen they send to Washington when they elect State Rep Mark Pocan. His IQ score will be offset by the continued presence of Congressman Gwen Moore from Milwaukee. Fortunately for Democrats, she has a problem showing up for work, reducing the opportunities to embarrass her party. Somewhere out there is Congressman Ron Kind, the once and future hope of his party according to some. Of course, that’s if he ever decides to run for something else.
Wisconsin will continue to have a 5-3 Republican majority.
Republicans will end up with 18 members and the majority. Republicans ought to be grateful they did not have to defend the eponymously-named Randy Hopper. I hope Senator Jessica King didn’t bother to unpack. They could add another if Democrat Jennifer Schilling loses, but that’s a tougher district.
In Waukesha County we have some Republican-on-Republican action, where State Rep Chris Kapenga is running against State Rep Paul Farrow to fill the vacancy left by Rich Zipperer. Farrow and Kapenga are both conservatives.
Farrow has the name recognition and the endorsements on his side. The day Zipperer announced his resignation, Farrow announced he was running and State Rep Bill Kramer endorsed him. All the other endorsements followed.
Kapenga was apparently not in the room when this was all set up, probably because he doesn’t work well and play well with others sometimes. Kapenga infamously went off the reservation and said Republicans did not include police in firefighters in Act 10 because of a political deal, a charge immediately denied by Kapenga’s colleagues. I’ve been told by a couple of people from under the Capitol dome that Kapenga is the smartest person in the room – just ask him.
I’m predicting Farrow should win, in part because of the higher name recognition among conservatives in a race that is getting drowned out by the bigger ticket races.
Republicans will actually expand their already impressive majority. Roger Rivard will win re-election, in case anyone is asking. If Gordon Hintz is still allowed to serve, and Brett Hulsey isn’t banned from public pools, one idiot who puts his foot in his mouth will hardly be noticed.